Thesis Title: Numeracy as a Predictor of Risk Assessment for Terrorism
Author: Arsla Nasir
Supervisor: Saima Ghazal
Year: 2017
Degree: MPhil
University: Institute of Applied Psychology, Punjab University, Lahore, Pakistan
Corresponding Address: Department of Applied Psychology, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan. Email: chairperson@appsy.pu.edu.pk, Phone: 92-42-9231245
Abstract
The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between numeracy, cognitive reflection, intelligence, personality traits and terrorism risk assessment in university students. It was hypothesized that a) there is likely to be a relationship between numeracy, cognitive reflection, intelligence, personality traits and terrorism risk assessment b) numeracy, cognitive reflection, intelligence and personality traits are likely to predict terrorism risk assessment c) Numeracy is likely to predict terrorism risk assessment after controlling cognitive reflection, intelligence and personality traits d) There is likely to be gender differences in numeracy, cognitive reflection, intelligence, personality traits and terrorism risk assessment. The Correlation research design was used. The sample comprised of 200 students (Men = 100, Women = 100) from university of the Punjab, Lahore by employing convenient sampling strategy. The result of Pearson Product Moment Correlation showed that numeracy has significant positive relationship with cognitive reflection, intelligence, terrorism risk assessment and one domain of personality which is intellect. Cognitive reflection has significant positive relationship with intelligence, terrorism risk assessment and one domain of personality which is intellect. Intellect, domain of personality has significant positive relationship with terrorism risk assessment. The results of Hierarchical Regression analysis showed that numeracy and intellect domain of personality predict terrorism risk assessment. This study has important implication as we can use tutorials, short courses, or college level courses to make people numerate so they will be able to make better and accurate judgment according to their environment. Limitations and suggestions are discussed.
Keywords: Numeracy, cognitive reflection, intelligence, personality traits, terrorism risk assessment.
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